Port Vale vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 2
POR
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
WYC
0 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
EXE
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
STE
42%
26%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
SWI
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 1
CRA
42%
27%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 5
CHE
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 3
WYC
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 2
CRA
57%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |