Port Vale vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
CHE
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 4
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
WOL
56%
21%
24%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
POR
2 - 3
DON
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
MKD
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 3
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
BRO
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
BRE
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 90 | 36 | 0 |