Port Vale vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
POR
2 - 3
CAR
26%
24%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
NOT
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DON
1 - 3
POR
52%
24%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
POR
6 - 2
HAR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FLE
0 - 0
CHE
48%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 1
MKD
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
ROC
56%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 5
HUR
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LEY
1 - 2
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |