Port Vale vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
POR
1 - 2
LUT
26%
25%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
TRA
1 - 0
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
POR
0 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
POS
1 - 2
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
STO
1 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 0
POS
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 4
QPR
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 2
MAN
47%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
SWI
3 - 0
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |