EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-4
Port Vale vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
POR
3 - 0
OXF
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
OLD
4 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
POR
0 - 1
WOL
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
NTT
2 - 0
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
POR
1 - 2
HUR
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
HAR
1 - 2
CHE
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
CHE
4 - 1
YOR
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
BPO
2 - 2
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
CHE
2 - 1
NOT
29%
29%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHE
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |