EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-4
Port Vale vs Chester City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
POR
0 - 2
BIR
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
HUR
0 - 4
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
MID
21%
28%
52%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
IPS
5 - 1
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
CHA
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chester City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
CUM
3 - 0
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 2
CUM
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
CHE
0 - 1
LEY
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
EXE
1 - 5
CHE
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 0
SCA
52%
24%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |