Port Vale vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
POR
1 - 0
BRE
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CRE
1 - 1
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
POR
1 - 0
BPO
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
NOT
1 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
COL
4 - 1
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
QPR
4 - 1
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 1
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
SWI
0 - 3
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 1
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
BRI
3 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |