Port Vale vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
POR
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 0
POR
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
SCU
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
EXE
2 - 0
POR
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
POR
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 1
BCF
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 0
CHE
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 1
BCF
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 0
BCF
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 2
SCU
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |