Port Vale vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
WOL
31%
27%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
3 - 1
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
WAL
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BCF
4 - 1
CHE
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
6 - 3
BCF
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 2
BCF
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BCF
3 - 0
STA
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
OXF
2 - 1
BCF
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |