Port Vale vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
OXF
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
STF
2 - 2
POR
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
MAC
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 3
CHE
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 2
GUL
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 0
BCF
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
MOR
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
BCF
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |