Port Vale vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
CRE
0 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
NOR
1 - 0
POR
39%
29%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
POR
2 - 1
STO
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
WOL
1 - 1
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
YOR
1 - 1
POR
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
SUN
2 - 1
BCF
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 0
TRA
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
CRE
1 - 2
BCF
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
WOL
4 - 2
BCF
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |