Port Vale vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
GRI
1 - 2
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
POR
0 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 2
POR
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
HUR
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 1
STF
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 4
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BUR
6 - 1
ALD
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ROT
2 - 2
BUR
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
BUR
0 - 2
STA
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |