Port Vale vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
OXF
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SWI
5 - 0
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
BRO
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
STF
1 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 1
BUR
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 4
BUR
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 3
BUR
11%
19%
70%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
BRI
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BPO
4 - 0
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |