Port Vale vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1921 |
BIR
4 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
POR
1 - 2
WHU
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1921 |
LEY
0 - 0
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
WHU
1 - 1
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
POR
0 - 0
FUL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1921 |
BIR
4 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
ROT
1 - 1
BIR
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
BIR
3 - 2
ROT
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
BIR
3 - 0
NTT
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |