Port Vale vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 2
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
ROC
41%
25%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
GUL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
FUL
6 - 0
POR
81%
14%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 3
POR
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 1
NOR
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
ALD
2 - 0
OXF
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 1
STE
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
STF
1 - 1
ALD
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 0
SOU
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |