Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
MKD
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
COV
2 - 1
POR
42%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
STF
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
POR
3 - 2
SWI
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
3 - 1
ROC
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 2
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FLE
0 - 0
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 0
MKD
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 1
NOR
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |