Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
STA
71%
18%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GIL
1 - 2
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
PLY
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
FLE
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
WYC
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 1
AFC
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
GUL
2 - 3
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |