Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
CHE
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
POR
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
ALD
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
AFC
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 4
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
OXF
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 0
AFC
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
STA
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |