Port Vale vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SWA
2 - 0
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
CUM
3 - 2
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 0
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
LUT
29%
26%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
BOU
4 - 3
LUT
25%
25%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
BOU
1 - 4
SOU
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 0
BOU
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
BHA
3 - 2
BOU
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
BOU
2 - 2
SWI
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |