Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GIL
1 - 2
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
PLY
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
FLE
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
DAG
2 - 3
POR
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
PLY
0 - 0
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
2 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
DAG
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
STA
1 - 0
CHE
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ROT
4 - 1
STA
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |