Port Talbot Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 1
POR
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
POR
4 - 2
ABE
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
BAL
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
POR
13%
18%
69%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
RHY
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
NEW
8%
16%
76%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 2
NEW
22%
23%
56%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 0
HAV
73%
17%
11%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +2 |