Port Talbot Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
POR
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
LLA
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 2
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 2
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAN
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 4
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 2
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |