Port Talbot Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
LID
0 - 0
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
LID
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
LID
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
5 - 1
BAN
13%
18%
70%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
NEW
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
LID
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
PRE
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 4
AIR
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |