Port Talbot Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
TNS
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 1
POR
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 3
POR
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
PRE
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ABE
4 - 1
NEW
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AIR
0 - 3
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 0
ABE
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |