Port Talbot Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
PRE
46%
24%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 5
POR
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
BAL
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
ABE
6 - 1
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 0
HAV
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 2
HAV
24%
21%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HAV
4 - 0
ABE
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
HAV
6 - 0
GAR
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 3
HAV
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |