Port Talbot Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
POR
0 - 3
RHY
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 0
POR
56%
23%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
HAV
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RHY
0 - 1
POR
35%
25%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
CON
5 - 3
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
71%
17%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 3
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |