Port Talbot Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TNS
6 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
AIR
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
POR
4 - 1
PRE
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 3
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
LID
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
CON
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
LID
69%
18%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CON
4 - 2
LLA
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |