Port Talbot Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
POR
38%
25%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 1
POR
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
BAN
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 3
AIR
38%
23%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CON
2 - 6
BAN
21%
22%
58%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 4
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 3
TNS
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |