Port Talbot Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
HAV
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
PRE
46%
24%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 5
POR
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
BAL
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 1
CEF
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CEF
3 - 2
CON
51%
23%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
RHY
1 - 1
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 5
ABE
37%
25%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
DEN
0 - 1
CEF
19%
21%
59%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |