Port Talbot Town vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TNS
5 - 0
POR
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
ABE
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 1
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
POR
4 - 4
AIR
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 5
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
11%
19%
70%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
TNS
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PRE
7 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LID
2 - 1
CAR
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |