Port Talbot Town vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 2
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
AIR
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 1
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
NEA
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
87%
9%
3%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
AIR
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
LID
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |