Port Melbourne Sharks vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
ELS
83%
12%
6%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 3
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
MEL
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
AVH
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
DAN
1 - 2
POR
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
OAK
1 - 1
SOU
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
ELS
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HEU
0 - 1
SOU
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CCF
0 - 2
SOU
9%
13%
78%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 1
SOU
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |