Port Melbourne Sharks vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
BUL
1 - 1
POR
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
POR
6 - 1
SGC
7%
14%
80%
|
28 | 65 | 37 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
AVH
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
HEU
4 - 1
POR
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
RIC
2 - 3
NOR
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HEU
4 - 1
RIC
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 3
RIC
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 2
GRE
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 2
RIC
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |