Pordenone vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pordenone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
REN
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
VIS
1 - 2
POR
19%
26%
56%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IMO
1 - 1
POR
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RIM
2 - 2
POR
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
VIC
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ASG
2 - 0
FER
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
FCS
26%
29%
45%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FER
0 - 2
RAV
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
FER
46%
28%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |