Poole Town vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poole Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
POO
2 - 0
SWI
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
YAT
1 - 1
POO
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
HAY
1 - 2
POO
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
TIV
0 - 1
POO
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
POO
3 - 1
FAR
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MER
1 - 2
MET
42%
23%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
MER
1 - 2
HAY
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GOS
2 - 2
MER
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MER
2 - 0
FAR
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MER
2 - 2
HAR
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |