Pontypridd United vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
12º
11º
60
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
PON
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
ABE
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
FLI
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 0
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 2
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
55%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
TNS
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
TNS
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |