Pontypridd United vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
47.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
12º
11º
44
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 4
PON
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 0
PON
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
PON
1 - 4
NEW
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CTF
1 - 2
PON
5%
12%
84%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
CAE
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
RTW
83%
13%
4%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 5
CON
10%
18%
72%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |