Pontypridd United vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
12º
10º
14
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
PON
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
CAR
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PON
0 - 3
CON
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
PON
40%
25%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PON
6 - 0
ABB
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HAV
5 - 0
COL
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
6 - 1
COL
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
COL
6 - 2
LUF
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | 0 |