Pontypridd United vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
3º
3º
32
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
PON
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PON
4 - 0
COL
48%
24%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
HAV
1 - 1
PON
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 3
PON
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COL
2 - 3
PON
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
HAV
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 3
PON
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |