Pontypridd United vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
12º
10º
37
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
PON
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
TNS
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
TNS
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
QUE
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
PEN
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
CON
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |