Pontivy vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LIM
2 - 0
PON
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
PON
0 - 1
STA
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PON
0 - 1
LES
28%
25%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
PON
43%
26%
32%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PON
1 - 1
NAN
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 2
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 1
TAR
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 2
CON
41%
27%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 2
TAR
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 2
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |