Pontivy vs Plougastel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CPB
1 - 3
PON
20%
21%
60%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
PON
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
STA
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SBR
0 - 2
PON
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
USF
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |