Pontivy vs Lannion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
7º
11º
10º
2
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STA
3 - 2
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
SPM
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 0
PON
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LAT
5 - 1
PON
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
LOC
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 3
VAN
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
USF
1 - 1
LAN
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
PLA
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
DIN
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 1
LAN
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |