Pontivy vs La Tour d'Auvergne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
11º
10º
33
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 3
PON
61%
20%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DOL
2 - 1
PON
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
VIT
15%
19%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
USF
1 - 1
PON
67%
19%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 2
PON
76%
15%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
La Tour d'Auvergne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
LAT
0 - 1
DIN
27%
25%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LAT
1 - 1
VIT
22%
22%
56%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SPM
5 - 1
LAT
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LAT
3 - 1
CES
42%
22%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
LAT
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |