Pontivy vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
QUC
79%
15%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
PON
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PON
4 - 0
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
DIN
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 2
DIN
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
GRA
36%
25%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ROU
1 - 1
CHA
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
CON
33%
28%
38%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |