Pontisola vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
PON
31%
27%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
PSM
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
PON
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
FCC
41%
26%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
PON
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
GRU
21%
24%
54%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 2
ROM
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RIB
3 - 1
FIO
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 2
PIA
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
FIO
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |