Pontisola vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAP
2 - 1
PON
21%
24%
56%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 1
PON
28%
26%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
PRO
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 3
PON
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
OLG
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SON
2 - 4
LEC
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 3
ASS
47%
26%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
LEC
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |