Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Pontevedra vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontevedra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
REC
2 - 0
PON
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
SEV
2 - 2
PON
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
PON
1 - 0
MAL
60%
23%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
RMA
1 - 0
PON
82%
13%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
UDL
5 - 0
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
REC
2 - 0
PON
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
RJA
1 - 0
REC
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
REC
1 - 0
HER
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
MLL
1 - 0
REC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
REC
1 - 2
ALC
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |