Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-1
Pontevedra vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontevedra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
PON
1 - 0
ATH
48%
28%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1979 |
LPA
2 - 0
PON
44%
24%
31%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 1979 |
CAM
0 - 2
PON
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
PON
2 - 0
ATB
46%
30%
25%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 2
PON
65%
23%
12%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
GIM
0 - 1
LEV
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
MUR
2 - 0
GIM
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1979 |
FCB
0 - 0
GIM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
GIM
1 - 0
CAS
36%
32%
32%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
GIM
1 - 0
FCB
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |