Pontellas vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
47%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontellas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
6 - 1
PON
62%
20%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 4
VIL
24%
21%
55%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TYD
5 - 3
PON
51%
23%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CDV
4 - 1
PON
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 2
MAR
41%
23%
37%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ADR
1 - 0
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 0
CAS
31%
23%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
VIL
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ANT
3 - 3
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |